According to the latest annual mid-term update from US National Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center, environmental and ocean conditions are favorable to some months of hurricanes exceeding estimates.
To this is added the possible return of La Niña phenomenon in the coming days, indicated the report of the mentioned entity belonging to US division of Meteorological Service.
Most recent forecast shows that the number of named storms expected (winds of more than 60 kilometers per hour) is 15 to 21, including about seven to 10 hurricanes (winds of 100 kilometers per hour or more), of which between three and five have the possibility of reaching Category 3.
‘After a record start in May, the Atlantic hurricane season in 2021 shows no signs of giving in as it enters peak months ahead’, said Rick Spinrad, head of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Office.
That entity’s team points out that chances of being above normal in this period is 65 percent, compared to 25 percent for being ‘almost normal’ and 10 percent for being below average.
The National Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s update of 2021 forecast covers the entire six-month hurricane season, ending on November 30.
Predictions do not include touching land, since these processes are only predictable approximately one week after a storm potentially reaches the coasts of some territory.
Although the Atlantic hurricane season officially begins on June 1, tropical cyclones have formed in the past five years before the start date.