A number of factors including President Joe Biden´s increased popularity rating, Americans´ disapproval in relation to SCJ´s decision to reverse the right to abortion, have contributed to Democrats´ resurgence, but the declining national headwinds facing the party are most responsible. Democratic voters are energized after the Supreme Court’s abortion decision, and Donald Trump’s constant presence in the spotlight is driving Democratic anger.
After rating the battle for the Senate as “Lean Republican” earlier this year, POLITICO´s Election Forecast now says neither party has a significant edge with two months to go until the midterms.
The biggest speed bump in Republicans’ march to the Senate majority has been the Supreme Court’s decision reversing nearly 50 years of federal abortion rights.
The GOP’s tension over its candidates is only half the story. Democrats are also opening new lanes in their fight to retain the majority, largely because their candidates have so much money.
Whether the conservative party manages to control each of Red states, it needs to get at least three seats in these states won by Biden during past presidential race, a much more difficult task whether criteria for Biden’s performance has improved in the coming days.
But Democrats still face this uncomfortable reality: The economy and inflation are still issue No. 1 for voters, and it’s still the message that shows up in most of both parties’ campaign ads.
According to FiveThirtyEight website, Democrats have the advantage in Senate race, as in some key states GOP selected weak candidates, hurting their chances of reaching the Senate.