The objective is to observe its likely influence on weather and climate patterns in the Caribbean nation over the coming months.

According to the report, models suggest a high probability that the event will reach “very strong” status before the end of September and maintain that intensity through the 2026-2027 winter.

Specialists explained to *Granma* newspaper that while weak ENSO events have little impact on the climate, moderate and strong ones tend to have severe effects.

During the summer season, temperatures rise significantly; indeed, the hottest years—both in Cuba and globally—are linked to the presence of this ocean-atmosphere interaction event.

This meteorological process tends to reduce total raining during the rainy season, particularly from July to October.

Cuba’s Institute of Meteorology Climate Center warned that, during winter, the influence of ENSO typically leads to increased rainfall and a higher probability of severe weather conditions and extreme events in the western and central regions of the country.

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